We will have a goat rodeo of sorts in the blogging/micropublishing/RSS world as commercial interests push into what many consider a „pure medium.“ I’ve seen this movie before, and it ends OK. But it’s important that the debate be full throated, and so far it looks to be shaping up that way. I’m already seeing these forces at work over at Boing Boing, and I am sure they will continue. We’ll all work on figuring out ways to stick to our principles and get paid at the same time, however, I expect that things might get more contentious before they get better, and 2005 may be a more fractious year in the blogosphere as we evolve through this process.
It will get harder to innovate before it gets easier. We’ll all be surprised by the lack of what we consider „progress“ in the RSS/Blogging world, and expectations of major publishing revenues will not materialize as quickly as perhaps we think they should. However, we’ll in fact be making huge strides in understanding the path forward, it just won’t seem like it. By the end of the year, the world will begin to realize that „blogs“ are in fact an extraordinarily heterogeneous ecosystem comprised of scores, if not hundreds, of different „types“ of sites.
Via Marc Canter